93% of bets are on Over 9 in Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees — heavy public lean on a June 5, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cleveland Guardians | 19% | 20% | +143 |
| New York Yankees | 81% | 80% | -163 | |
| Run line | Cleveland Guardians +1.5 | 20% | 21% | -137 |
| New York Yankees -1.5 | 80% | 79% | +125 | |
| Total | Over 9 | 93% | 87% | -104 |
| Under 9 | 7% | 13% | -114 |
Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 93% of the bet count on the totals market is sitting on Over 9 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 87% of dollars on Over 9 versus 93% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Under 9 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
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Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.
Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: June 5, 2026 at 4:37 AM UTC
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