Sharp money signal in Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays: Tampa Bay Rays has 66% of bets but only 31% of the dollars.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Houston Astros | 34% | 69% | +120 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 66% | 31% | -136 | |
| Run line | Houston Astros +1.5 | 33% | 36% | -178 |
| Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 | 67% | 64% | +164 | |
| Total | Over 8 | 88% | 84% | -120 |
| Under 8 | 12% | 16% | -115 |
Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on tonight's MLB slate. On the moneyline market, 66% of bets are on Tampa Bay Rays but only 31% of the dollars — a 35-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.
That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.
None of this is a pick. It's where the money is landing — you decide what to do with it. See how we calculate splits →.
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A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A {gap}pp gap means the average bet on Tampa Bay Rays is smaller than the average bet on the other side.
These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: September 13, 2026 at 2:51 PM UTC
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