Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Splits — September 13, 2026

Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox: market is roughly balanced — Boston Red Sox 89% of bets, 91% of money.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Kansas City Royals 11% 9% +158
Boston Red Sox 89% 91% -177
Run line Kansas City Royals +1.5 13% 13% -145
Boston Red Sox -1.5 87% 87% +126
Total Over 7.5 85% 81% +102
Under 7.5 15% 19% -120

What the data says

Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox looks like a balanced market right now. The bet count and the money share are tracking close together on the moneyline market — 89% of bets and 91% of dollars on Boston Red Sox, a 2-point gap that doesn't clear the threshold we treat as meaningful.

Even splits are the default state for most games on most nights. The public and the dollars agree that the line is roughly fair. There's no clean directional signal here — nothing to act on from a splits-only perspective. That doesn't make the game unpriced or uninteresting; it just means the public-vs-money lens isn't picking up an edge.

If you're shopping the slate for splits-driven plays, the bigger gaps live on the biggest splits today and sharp action today pages. See how we calculate splits →.

Tonight's strongest MLB plays — locked.

Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.

Advanced Pick #1 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Moneyline
Advanced Pick #2 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Run Line
Advanced Pick #3 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Total
Unlock advanced EV picks →

Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →

Related

Frequently asked questions

Should I bet on Boston Red Sox tonight?

We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.

What is a good bet% gap to look for?

Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.

When does the public usually win?

Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.

What's a meaningful bet/money split?

A 10-point gap between the share of bets and the share of dollars on a side is the threshold we treat as meaningful. 15+ points usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger — that's where sharp money lives. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: September 13, 2026 at 2:52 PM UTC

See tonight's biggest MLB splits — free.

Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.

See all of tonight's splits →

Or unlock our advanced EV picks →