Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox Betting Splits — May 14, 2026

92% of bets are on Over 7.5 in Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox — heavy public lean on a May 14, 2026 matchup.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Kansas City Royals 58% 74% -130
Chicago White Sox 42% 26% +118
Run line Kansas City Royals -1.5 59% 56% +135
Chicago White Sox +1.5 41% 44% -146
Total Over 7.5 92% 85% -112
Under 7.5 8% 15% -120

What the data says

Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 92% of the bet count on the totals market is sitting on Over 7.5 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.

The money side tells a slightly different story: 85% of dollars on Over 7.5 versus 92% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Under 7.5 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.

None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.

Tonight's strongest MLB plays — locked.

Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.

Advanced Pick #1 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Moneyline
Advanced Pick #2 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Run Line
Advanced Pick #3 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Total
Unlock advanced EV picks →

Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →

Related

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between bet% and money%?

Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.

Where can I bet {away} vs. {home}?

Any licensed sportsbook in your state offers MLB markets. We don't recommend specific books — see our responsible gambling resources before you wager.

When does the public usually win?

Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What does a heavy public lean mean?

When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 9:48 PM UTC

See tonight's biggest MLB splits — free.

Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.

See all of tonight's splits →

Or unlock our advanced EV picks →