Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Splits — July 31, 2026

Notable bet/money split in Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins: a 20-point gap on Kansas City Royals +1.5.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Kansas City Royals 26% 33% +118
Minnesota Twins 74% 67% -130
Run line Kansas City Royals +1.5 35% 15% -170
Minnesota Twins -1.5 65% 85% +150
Total Over 9 25% 42% -112
Under 9 75% 58% -105

What the data says

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the spread market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 35% of bets are on Kansas City Royals +1.5 while only 15% of dollars are on the same side — a 20-point gap.

A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on Minnesota Twins -1.5 without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is Minnesota Twins -1.5, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.

Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.

Tonight's strongest MLB plays — locked.

Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.

Advanced Pick #1 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Moneyline
Advanced Pick #2 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Run Line
Advanced Pick #3 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Total
Unlock advanced EV picks →

Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →

Related

Frequently asked questions

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What does it mean when Kansas City Royals +1.5 has 35% of bets but 15% of money?

When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A {gap}pp gap means the average bet on Kansas City Royals +1.5 is smaller than the average bet on the other side.

What is a good bet% gap to look for?

Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.

Where can I bet {away} vs. {home}?

Any licensed sportsbook in your state offers MLB markets. We don't recommend specific books — see our responsible gambling resources before you wager.

When does the public usually win?

Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: July 31, 2026 at 1:34 AM UTC

See tonight's biggest MLB splits — free.

Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.

See all of tonight's splits →

Or unlock our advanced EV picks →