93% of bets are on Over 8.5 in Kansas City Royals at New York Mets — heavy public lean on a July 7, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas City Royals | 44% | 29% | +130 |
| New York Mets | 56% | 71% | -146 | |
| Run line | Kansas City Royals +1.5 | 38% | 53% | -165 |
| New York Mets -1.5 | 62% | 47% | +146 | |
| Total | Over 8.5 | 93% | 91% | -102 |
| Under 8.5 | 7% | 9% | -110 |
Kansas City Royals at New York Mets is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 93% of the bet count on the totals market is sitting on Over 8.5 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 91% of dollars on Over 8.5 versus 93% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Under 8.5 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
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These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: July 7, 2026 at 6:26 PM UTC
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