Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets Betting Splits — July 10, 2026

Sharp money signal in Kansas City Royals at New York Mets: New York Mets has 74% of bets but only 33% of the dollars.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Kansas City Royals 26% 67% +124
New York Mets 74% 33% even
Total Over 9 73% 79% -113
Under 9 27% 21% -120

What the data says

Kansas City Royals at New York Mets is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on tonight's MLB slate. On the moneyline market, 74% of bets are on New York Mets but only 33% of the dollars — a 41-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.

That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.

None of this is a pick. It's where the money is landing — you decide what to do with it. See how we calculate splits →.

Tonight's strongest MLB plays — locked.

Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.

Advanced Pick #1 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Moneyline
Advanced Pick #2 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Run Line
Advanced Pick #3 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Total
Unlock advanced EV picks →

Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →

Related

Frequently asked questions

When does the public usually win?

Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.

Should I bet on New York Mets tonight?

We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.

Are these picks or just data?

These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: July 10, 2026 at 4:35 AM UTC

See tonight's biggest MLB splits — free.

Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.

See all of tonight's splits →

Or unlock our advanced EV picks →