Sharp money signal in Miami Marlins at New York Mets: New York Mets has 70% of bets but only 37% of the dollars.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Miami Marlins | 30% | 63% | +114 |
| New York Mets | 70% | 37% | -125 | |
| Run line | Miami Marlins +1.5 | 40% | 22% | +180 |
| New York Mets -1.5 | 60% | 78% | +180 | |
| Total | Over 7 | 79% | 79% | -114 |
| Under 7 | 21% | 21% | -140 |
Miami Marlins at New York Mets is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on tonight's MLB slate. On the moneyline market, 70% of bets are on New York Mets but only 37% of the dollars — a 33-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.
That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.
None of this is a pick. It's where the money is landing — you decide what to do with it. See how we calculate splits →.
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When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A {gap}pp gap means the average bet on New York Mets is smaller than the average bet on the other side.
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
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Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: July 31, 2026 at 1:39 AM UTC
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