92% of bets are on Over 8.5 in Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates — heavy public lean on a June 13, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Miami Marlins | 30% | 33% | +125 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 70% | 67% | -143 | |
| Run line | Miami Marlins +1.5 | 31% | 28% | -165 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 | 69% | 72% | +146 | |
| Total | Over 8.5 | 92% | 89% | -112 |
| Under 8.5 | 8% | 11% | even |
Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 92% of the bet count on the totals market is sitting on Over 8.5 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 89% of dollars on Over 8.5 versus 92% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Under 8.5 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
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Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
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Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: June 13, 2026 at 5:10 AM UTC
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