Sharp money signal in Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals: Miami Marlins -1.5 has 87% of bets but only 55% of the dollars.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Miami Marlins | 74% | 84% | -134 |
| Washington Nationals | 26% | 16% | +125 | |
| Run line | Miami Marlins -1.5 | 87% | 55% | +120 |
| Washington Nationals +1.5 | 13% | 45% | -140 | |
| Total | Over 8.5 | 63% | 77% | -122 |
| Under 8.5 | 37% | 23% | -114 |
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on tonight's MLB slate. On the spread market, 87% of bets are on Miami Marlins -1.5 but only 55% of the dollars — a 32-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.
That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.
None of this is a pick. It's where the money is landing — you decide what to do with it. See how we calculate splits →.
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →
Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A {gap}pp gap means the average bet on Miami Marlins -1.5 is smaller than the average bet on the other side.
We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: September 6, 2026 at 2:37 PM UTC
Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.
See all of tonight's splits →