Sharp money signal in Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates: Pittsburgh Pirates has 40% of bets but only 10% of the dollars.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | 60% | 90% | -130 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 40% | 10% | +123 | |
| Run line | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | 74% | 95% | +120 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 | 26% | 5% | -130 | |
| Total | Over 9 | 48% | 60% | -110 |
| Under 9 | 52% | 40% | -105 |
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on tonight's MLB slate. On the moneyline market, 40% of bets are on Pittsburgh Pirates but only 10% of the dollars — a 30-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.
That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.
None of this is a pick. It's where the money is landing — you decide what to do with it. See how we calculate splits →.
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We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.
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Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: July 12, 2026 at 4:17 AM UTC
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