Sharp money signal in Minnesota Twins at Pittsburgh Pirates: Pittsburgh Pirates has 74% of bets but only 41% of the dollars.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota Twins | 26% | 59% | +145 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 74% | 41% | -162 | |
| Run line | Minnesota Twins +1.5 | 18% | 16% | -155 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 | 82% | 84% | +140 | |
| Total | Over 7.5 | 96% | 89% | even |
| Under 7.5 | 4% | 11% | -114 |
Minnesota Twins at Pittsburgh Pirates is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on tonight's MLB slate. On the moneyline market, 74% of bets are on Pittsburgh Pirates but only 41% of the dollars — a 33-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.
That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.
None of this is a pick. It's where the money is landing — you decide what to do with it. See how we calculate splits →.
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In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.
Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: June 1, 2026 at 1:40 AM UTC
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