Sharp money signal in New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians: New York Mets has 43% of bets but only 8% of the dollars.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Mets | 43% | 8% | +115 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 57% | 92% | -116 | |
| Total | Over 7 | 62% | 55% | -140 |
| Under 7 | 38% | 45% | -109 |
New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on tonight's MLB slate. On the moneyline market, 43% of bets are on New York Mets but only 8% of the dollars — a 35-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.
That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.
None of this is a pick. It's where the money is landing — you decide what to do with it. See how we calculate splits →.
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We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.
Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: August 7, 2026 at 2:39 AM UTC
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