New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Betting Splits — May 22, 2026

Notable bet/money split in New York Mets at Miami Marlins: a 19-point gap on New York Mets -1.5.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline New York Mets 56% 58% even
Miami Marlins 44% 42% -112
Run line New York Mets -1.5 55% 36% +160
Miami Marlins +1.5 45% 64% -192
Total Over 8 96% 96% -120
Under 8 4% 4% -114

What the data says

New York Mets at Miami Marlins shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the spread market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 55% of bets are on New York Mets -1.5 while only 36% of dollars are on the same side — a 19-point gap.

A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on Miami Marlins +1.5 without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is Miami Marlins +1.5, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.

Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.

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Frequently asked questions

Should I bet on New York Mets -1.5 tonight?

We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.

What is a good bet% gap to look for?

Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.

How often does the team with more money% cover?

In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.

What is a meaningful bet% / money% gap?

A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 9:43 PM UTC

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