92% of bets are on Philadelphia Phillies in New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies — heavy public lean on a June 21, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Mets | 8% | 17% | +158 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 92% | 83% | -178 | |
| Run line | New York Mets +1.5 | 10% | 7% | -130 |
| Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | 90% | 93% | +115 | |
| Total | Over 8 | 93% | 89% | -114 |
| Under 8 | 7% | 11% | -120 |
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 92% of the bet count on the moneyline market is sitting on Philadelphia Phillies — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 83% of dollars on Philadelphia Phillies versus 92% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 92% public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on New York Mets is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →
In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.
We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: September 6, 2026 at 2:53 PM UTC
Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.
See all of tonight's splits →