97% of bets are on New York Yankees -1.5 in New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox — heavy public lean on a June 26, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Yankees | 89% | 91% | -145 |
| Boston Red Sox | 11% | 9% | +130 | |
| Run line | New York Yankees -1.5 | 97% | 95% | +120 |
| Boston Red Sox +1.5 | 3% | 5% | -132 | |
| Total | Over 8 | 82% | 89% | -106 |
| Under 8 | 18% | 11% | -130 |
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 97% of the bet count on the spread market is sitting on New York Yankees -1.5 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 95% of dollars on New York Yankees -1.5 versus 97% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Boston Red Sox +1.5 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
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Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
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Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: June 26, 2026 at 4:40 AM UTC
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