New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals Betting Splits — July 10, 2026

Modest split in New York Yankees at Washington Nationals — Under 10 draws 44% of bets, 34% of money.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline New York Yankees 79% 76% -158
Washington Nationals 21% 24% +135
Run line New York Yankees -1.5 74% 82% +102
Washington Nationals +1.5 26% 18% -115
Total Over 10 56% 66% -125
Under 10 44% 34% -108

What the data says

New York Yankees at Washington Nationals has a modest split worth noting on the totals market. 44% of bets are on Under 10, with 34% of dollars on the same side — a 10-point gap. It's a small edge, not a top opportunity, but it's a directional signal in the same direction as a real sharp-money tell.

Splits in the 10 to 15-point range are common — most games on most nights land in this band. It's not nothing, and it's not enough on its own to override the price. The money side here is Over 10 if the gap matters. The public side is the one the line is built around. Most professional bettors don't act on a split this size in isolation; they use it as one input among several.

It didn't make tonight's top opportunities for that reason. See how we rank the slate →.

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Related

Frequently asked questions

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.

Should I bet on Under 10 tonight?

We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.

What does it mean when Under 10 has 44% of bets but 34% of money?

When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A {gap}pp gap means the average bet on Under 10 is smaller than the average bet on the other side.

What is a meaningful bet% / money% gap?

A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.

What's a meaningful bet/money split?

A 10-point gap between the share of bets and the share of dollars on a side is the threshold we treat as meaningful. 15+ points usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger — that's where sharp money lives. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: July 10, 2026 at 6:11 PM UTC

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