Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Betting Splits — May 2, 2026

Sharp money signal in Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins: Miami Marlins -1.5 has 65% of bets but only 31% of the dollars.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies 44% 41% +115
Miami Marlins 56% 59% -130
Run line Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 35% 69% -190
Miami Marlins -1.5 65% 31% +163
Total Over 8.5 91% 92% -118
Under 8.5 9% 8% even

What the data says

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on tonight's MLB slate. On the spread market, 65% of bets are on Miami Marlins -1.5 but only 31% of the dollars — a 34-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.

That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.

None of this is a pick. It's where the money is landing — you decide what to do with it. See how we calculate splits →.

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Related

Frequently asked questions

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.

Are these picks or just data?

These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.

Should I bet on Miami Marlins -1.5 tonight?

We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.

What is a good bet% gap to look for?

Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 9:45 PM UTC

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