98% of bets are on Over 7.5 in Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets — heavy public lean on a September 20, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies | 80% | 97% | -155 |
| New York Mets | 20% | 3% | +140 | |
| Run line | Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | 81% | 92% | +115 |
| New York Mets +1.5 | 19% | 8% | -127 | |
| Total | Over 7.5 | 98% | 98% | -110 |
| Under 7.5 | 2% | 2% | -105 |
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 98% of the bet count on the totals market is sitting on Over 7.5 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side isn't arguing: 98% of dollars on Over 7.5 against 98% of tickets, so the bigger bets are leaning the same way as the crowd, if only slightly. That leaves no contrarian signal to read here — just a heavily backed side whose price already reflects it. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
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Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.
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Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.
In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: September 20, 2026 at 4:04 PM UTC
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