92% of bets are on Philadelphia Phillies in Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies — heavy public lean on a July 1, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 8% | 10% | +191 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 92% | 90% | -215 | |
| Run line | Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 | 12% | 5% | -111 |
| Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | 88% | 95% | -105 | |
| Total | Over 8.5 | 95% | 93% | -118 |
| Under 8.5 | 5% | 7% | -115 |
Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 92% of the bet count on the moneyline market is sitting on Philadelphia Phillies — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 90% of dollars on Philadelphia Phillies versus 92% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Pittsburgh Pirates is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
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We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.
Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: July 1, 2026 at 4:34 AM UTC
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