91% of bets are on Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 in St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates — heavy public lean on a April 27, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals | 22% | 20% | +104 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 78% | 80% | -118 | |
| Run line | St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | 9% | 11% | -196 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 | 91% | 89% | -188 | |
| Total | Over 8 | 74% | 78% | -110 |
| Under 8 | 26% | 22% | -104 |
St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 91% of the bet count on the spread market is sitting on Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 89% of dollars on Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 versus 91% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
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In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.
Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 9:51 PM UTC
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