Sharp money signal in Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles: Baltimore Orioles has 56% of bets but only 25% of the dollars.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays | 44% | 75% | +104 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 56% | 25% | -120 | |
| Total | Over 7.5 | 94% | 91% | +105 |
| Under 7.5 | 6% | 9% | -120 |
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on tonight's MLB slate. On the moneyline market, 56% of bets are on Baltimore Orioles but only 25% of the dollars — a 31-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.
That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.
None of this is a pick. It's where the money is landing — you decide what to do with it. See how we calculate splits →.
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These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A 31pp gap means the average bet on Baltimore Orioles is smaller than the average bet on the other side.
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: September 22, 2026 at 2:49 PM UTC
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