91% of bets are on Over 8.5 in Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox — heavy public lean on a June 30, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington Nationals | 12% | 27% | +150 |
| Boston Red Sox | 88% | 73% | -140 | |
| Run line | Washington Nationals +1.5 | 19% | 14% | -137 |
| Boston Red Sox -1.5 | 81% | 86% | +145 | |
| Total | Over 8.5 | 91% | 88% | -105 |
| Under 8.5 | 9% | 12% | even |
Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 91% of the bet count on the totals market is sitting on Over 8.5 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 88% of dollars on Over 8.5 versus 91% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Under 8.5 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
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Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.
In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: June 30, 2026 at 5:22 AM UTC
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