Notable bet/money split in Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins: a 15-point gap on Washington Nationals +1.5.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington Nationals | 38% | 40% | +115 |
| Miami Marlins | 62% | 60% | -130 | |
| Run line | Washington Nationals +1.5 | 22% | 7% | -180 |
| Miami Marlins -1.5 | 78% | 93% | +165 | |
| Total | Over 8.5 | 77% | 79% | -115 |
| Under 8.5 | 23% | 21% | -118 |
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the spread market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 22% of bets are on Washington Nationals +1.5 while only 7% of dollars are on the same side — a 15-point gap.
A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on Miami Marlins -1.5 without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is Miami Marlins -1.5, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.
Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.
Any licensed sportsbook in your state offers MLB markets. We don't recommend specific books — see our responsible gambling resources before you wager.
When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A {gap}pp gap means the average bet on Washington Nationals +1.5 is smaller than the average bet on the other side.
In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 9:44 PM UTC
Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.
See all of tonight's splits →