Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Betting Splits — April 28, 2026

Notable bet/money split in Washington Nationals at New York Mets: a 19-point gap on Washington Nationals +1.5.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Washington Nationals 28% 34% +154
New York Mets 72% 66% -180
Run line Washington Nationals +1.5 27% 8% -135
New York Mets -1.5 73% 92% +125
Total Over 8 89% 93% -109
Under 8 11% 7% -115

What the data says

Washington Nationals at New York Mets shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the spread market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 27% of bets are on Washington Nationals +1.5 while only 8% of dollars are on the same side — a 19-point gap.

A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on New York Mets -1.5 without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is New York Mets -1.5, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.

Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.

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Related

Frequently asked questions

What is a meaningful bet% / money% gap?

A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.

Where can I bet {away} vs. {home}?

Any licensed sportsbook in your state offers MLB markets. We don't recommend specific books — see our responsible gambling resources before you wager.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What is a good bet% gap to look for?

Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 9:46 PM UTC

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