Sharp money signal in Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies: Under 9 has 53% of bets but only 22% of the dollars.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington Nationals | 11% | 14% | +144 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 89% | 86% | -146 | |
| Run line | Washington Nationals +1.5 | 4% | 9% | -155 |
| Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | 96% | 91% | +145 | |
| Total | Over 9 | 47% | 78% | -115 |
| Under 9 | 53% | 22% | -115 |
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on tonight's MLB slate. On the totals market, 53% of bets are on Under 9 but only 22% of the dollars — a 31-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.
That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.
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When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A 31pp gap means the average bet on Under 9 is smaller than the average bet on the other side.
Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.
In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
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Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 21, 2026 at 7:04 PM UTC
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