Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers Public Betting Percentages — Week 5, October 11, 2026

Notable spread split in Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers: a 16.0-point bet/money gap on Denver Broncos -3.5.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Spread Denver Broncos -3.5 58% 42% -105
Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 42% 58% -107
Total Over 42.5 62% 72% -108
Under 42.5 38% 28% -105
Moneyline Denver Broncos 83% 70% -180
Los Angeles Chargers 17% 30% +160

What the data says

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the spread market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 58.0% of bets are on Denver Broncos -3.5 while only 42.0% of dollars are on the same side — a 16.0-point gap.

A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is Los Angeles Chargers +3.5, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.

Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.

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Frequently asked questions

Who should I bet in Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers?

We don't issue picks. This page shows where the tickets and the dollars are landing so you can weigh that against your own read of the game.

Where does this NFL public betting data come from and how often does it update?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence and store every snapshot from the moment a line is posted, so a game's splits can be read as a series rather than a single reading. This page shows the most recent snapshot before kickoff.

What does it mean that Denver Broncos -3.5 has 58.0% of bets but 42.0% of the money?

The ticket count and the dollar count are measuring different bettors. A 16.0-point gap means the average wager on Denver Broncos -3.5 is smaller than the average wager on the other side — a lot of small bets one way, fewer and larger ones the other. That is the footprint sharper money usually leaves.

How big does a bet/money gap have to be to matter in the NFL?

On NFL spreads the median gap between a side's share of tickets and its share of dollars is about 2 points, a quarter of games clear 9, and one in ten clears 22. So a gap in the teens is already a top-quarter event here, where the same number on a college board would be ordinary.

Does fading the public work in the NFL?

Not as a blanket rule, and we don't present it as one. NFL lines are priced knowing which side the public is coming for, so the lean is mostly in the number already. What we track is where the ticket count and the dollars disagree, which is a narrower and more specific thing than fading whoever is popular.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that trails the bet percentage on the popular side — many small tickets one way, fewer and larger ones the other. On an NFL spread the typical gap is only about 2 points and one game in ten clears 22, so a double-digit gap is the part worth noticing. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: October 6, 2026 at 11:24 AM UTC

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