Notable bet/money split in Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates: a 28-point gap on Under 9.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Cubs | 39% | 42% | +105 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 61% | 58% | -122 | |
| Run line | Chicago Cubs -1.5 | 21% | 21% | -190 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 | 79% | 79% | -190 | |
| Total | Over 9 | 62% | 90% | -120 |
| Under 9 | 38% | 10% | -115 |
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the totals market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 38% of bets are on Under 9 while only 10% of dollars are on the same side — a 28-point gap.
A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on Over 9 without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is Over 9, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.
Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.
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A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
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Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.
Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 8:41 PM UTC
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