The Chicago Cubs are one of MLB's most-bet teams (62.3% bet share); record as a public favorite is 23-11.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Record (tracked games) | 29-25 |
| Average bet % | 62.3% |
| Average money % | 64.7% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 34 |
| Record as public favorite | 23-11 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 11-23 |
The Chicago Cubs are one of the most-bet teams in baseball this season. Across 54 games we've tracked, Chicago Cubs draw an average of 62.3% of the betting handle on the games they play in. The casual side keeps coming back to them — either because of name recognition, recent results, or televised matchups.
Their record as a public favorite (60%+ of bets) is 23-11. The "fade them when they're public" side is 11-23 this season — the inverse number, since one happens whenever the other doesn't. The size of the bet/money gap matters too: Chicago Cubs average 64.7% on the money side. When the dollars trail the bet count by 10+ points, that's the strongest individual signal in our data.
The takeaway isn't a recommendation. It's that the Chicago Cubs carry a consistent public-side lean, and the line builds in some of that lean before you place a bet. See our methodology → for what that means in practice.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Chicago Cubs bet % | Chicago Cubs money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | L 1-12 | 34.0% | 38.0% |
| 2026-05-25 | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | L 1-2 | 58.0% | 48.0% |
| 2026-05-24 | Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs | L 5-8 | 74.0% | 75.0% |
| 2026-05-23 | Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs | L 0-3 | 60.0% | 57.0% |
| 2026-05-22 | Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs | L 2-4 | 69.0% | 59.0% |
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
No. Fading works when the public lean is heavy enough to move the line off the true number. On games with balanced action, there is no edge to fade.
Chicago Cubs are 29-25 against the spread this season. See full splits-by-bucket on the leaderboards.
Season-to-date, Chicago Cubs averages 62.3% of bets across their games. Above 55% is a public lean; above 60% qualifies them as a public favorite.
When Chicago Cubs draw 60%+ of bets, they are 23-11 this season. Public favorites historically underperform; see the methodology page for the season aggregate.
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 7:35 PM UTC
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