Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Betting Splits — May 31, 2026

95% of bets are on Over 8 in Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals — heavy public lean on a May 31, 2026 matchup.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Chicago Cubs 72% 62% -130
St. Louis Cardinals 28% 38% +114
Run line Chicago Cubs -1.5 69% 81% +135
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 31% 19% -152
Total Over 8 95% 95% -105
Under 8 5% 5% -110

What the data says

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 95% of the bet count on the totals market is sitting on Over 8 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.

The money side tells a slightly different story: 95% of dollars on Over 8 versus 95% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Under 8 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.

None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.

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Related

Frequently asked questions

How often does the team with more money% cover?

In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.

Are these picks or just data?

These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.

What is a good bet% gap to look for?

Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.

What does a heavy public lean mean?

When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: May 31, 2026 at 5:13 AM UTC

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