91% of bets are on Over 9 in Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates — heavy public lean on a June 29, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cincinnati Reds | 40% | 52% | +120 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 60% | 48% | -134 | |
| Run line | Cincinnati Reds +1.5 | 26% | 10% | -180 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 | 74% | 90% | +152 | |
| Total | Over 9 | 91% | 89% | -106 |
| Under 9 | 9% | 11% | -104 |
Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 91% of the bet count on the totals market is sitting on Over 9 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 89% of dollars on Over 9 versus 91% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Under 9 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →
We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.
Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.
Any licensed sportsbook in your state offers MLB markets. We don't recommend specific books — see our responsible gambling resources before you wager.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: June 29, 2026 at 5:13 AM UTC
Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.
See all of tonight's splits →