The Cincinnati Reds draw 42.4% of bets on average; fading them when they're public is 9-4 this season.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Record (tracked games) | 28-25 |
| Average bet % | 42.4% |
| Average money % | 46.9% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 13 |
| Record as public favorite | 4-9 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 9-4 |
The Cincinnati Reds have been one of the season's clearer fade targets. Across 53 games where we have publicly reported splits data, casual bettors have hammered them — averaging 42.4% of the bet count when Cincinnati Reds are on the board. The dollars haven't followed: the average money percentage on Cincinnati Reds sits at 46.9%, a meaningful divergence that says the average bet on the other side is materially larger.
When Cincinnati Reds are a public favorite (60%+ of bets on their side), they're 4-9 this season. The fade-the-public side — betting against Cincinnati Reds when the public is loading up — is 9-4 in those same games. That's not a guarantee, and it's not enough sample to call a rule, but it is the data pattern that lands a team on the "heavy fade target" list.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Cincinnati Reds bet % | Cincinnati Reds money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets | W 7-2 | 77.0% | 90.0% |
| 2026-05-25 | Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets | W 7-2 | 31.0% | 47.0% |
| 2026-05-23 | St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds | L 1-8 | 46.0% | 44.0% |
| 2026-05-20 | Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies | W 9-4 | 41.0% | 74.0% |
| 2026-05-19 | Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies | W 4-1 | 36.0% | 56.0% |
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.
These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
When the money side is opposite the betting majority on Cincinnati Reds, the fade-the-public side is 9-4 in those games this season.
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 7:35 PM UTC
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