91% of bets are on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 in Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds — heavy public lean on a June 24, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | 58% | 70% | -106 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 30% | -110 | |
| Run line | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | 91% | 82% | +150 |
| Cincinnati Reds +1.5 | 9% | 18% | -170 | |
| Total | Over 9.5 | 67% | 77% | -124 |
| Under 9.5 | 33% | 23% | -115 |
Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 91% of the bet count on the spread market is sitting on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 82% of dollars on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 versus 91% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Cincinnati Reds +1.5 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
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Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.
In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
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Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: June 24, 2026 at 4:20 AM UTC
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