91% of bets are on Over 9 in New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds — heavy public lean on a June 16, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Mets | 31% | 22% | +116 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 69% | 78% | -135 | |
| Run line | New York Mets +1.5 | 14% | 18% | -180 |
| Cincinnati Reds -1.5 | 86% | 82% | +157 | |
| Total | Over 9 | 91% | 87% | -115 |
| Under 9 | 9% | 13% | -120 |
New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 91% of the bet count on the totals market is sitting on Over 9 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 87% of dollars on Over 9 versus 91% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Under 9 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
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Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.
In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: June 16, 2026 at 3:00 AM UTC
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