95% of bets are on Over 7 in New York Mets at Seattle Mariners — heavy public lean on a June 4, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Mets | 23% | 24% | +123 |
| Seattle Mariners | 77% | 76% | -140 | |
| Run line | New York Mets +1.5 | 24% | 24% | -182 |
| Seattle Mariners -1.5 | 76% | 76% | +155 | |
| Total | Over 7 | 95% | 86% | -124 |
| Under 7 | 5% | 14% | -124 |
New York Mets at Seattle Mariners is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 95% of the bet count on the totals market is sitting on Over 7 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 86% of dollars on Over 7 versus 95% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Under 7 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →
Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: June 4, 2026 at 4:31 AM UTC
Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.
See all of tonight's splits →