Seattle Mariners Betting Splits & Public Money Trends — 2026

The Seattle Mariners are one of MLB's most-bet teams (63.6% bet share); record as a public favorite is 18-20.

Season splits at a glance

Metric Value
Record (tracked games)27-29
Average bet %63.6%
Average money %51.5%
Games as public favorite (60%+ bets)38
Record as public favorite18-20
Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav)20-18

What the data says

The Seattle Mariners are one of the most-bet teams in baseball this season. Across 56 games we've tracked, Seattle Mariners draw an average of 63.6% of the betting handle on the games they play in. The casual side keeps coming back to them — either because of name recognition, recent results, or televised matchups.

Their record as a public favorite (60%+ of bets) is 18-20. The "fade them when they're public" side is 20-18 this season — the inverse number, since one happens whenever the other doesn't. The size of the bet/money gap matters too: Seattle Mariners average 51.5% on the money side. When the dollars trail the bet count by 10+ points, that's the strongest individual signal in our data.

The takeaway isn't a recommendation. It's that the Seattle Mariners carry a consistent public-side lean, and the line builds in some of that lean before you place a bet. See our methodology → for what that means in practice.

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Where Seattle Mariners rank in MLB

Public-bet rank
#4 of 30 by average bet percentage this season
Bet/money gap
+12.1 percentage points

Last 5 tracked games

Date Matchup Result Seattle Mariners bet % Seattle Mariners money %
2026-05-26 Seattle Mariners @ Athletics W 4-1 60.0% 56.0%
2026-05-25 Seattle Mariners @ Athletics W 9-2 40.0% 22.0%
2026-05-24 Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals L 6-8 74.0% 55.0%
2026-05-23 Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals L 0-5 78.0% 78.0%
2026-05-22 Seattle Mariners @ Kansas City Royals W 2-0 73.0% 77.0%

Head-to-head this season

Related

Frequently asked questions

When does the public usually win?

Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.

What is Seattle Mariners's ATS record this season?

Seattle Mariners are 27-29 against the spread this season. See full splits-by-bucket on the leaderboards.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

Should I always fade the public?

No. Fading works when the public lean is heavy enough to move the line off the true number. On games with balanced action, there is no edge to fade.

What is a public favorite? A public favorite is the side drawing 60% or more of the betting tickets on a given game. When the money percentage trails the bet percentage on that side, it's a signal that smaller, casual bets are stacking up there — and the larger bets are on the other side. See our methodology →.

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 7:34 PM UTC

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