93% of bets are on Over 7.5 in New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks — heavy public lean on a September 19, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Yankees | 89% | 94% | -141 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 11% | 6% | +125 | |
| Run line | New York Yankees -1.5 | 87% | 93% | +123 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 | 13% | 7% | -137 | |
| Total | Over 7.5 | 93% | 90% | -134 |
| Under 7.5 | 7% | 10% | -120 |
New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 93% of the bet count on the totals market is sitting on Over 7.5 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 90% of dollars on Over 7.5 versus 93% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 93% public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Under 7.5 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →
These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.
In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.
Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: September 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM UTC
Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.
See all of tonight's splits →