Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Splits — July 30, 2026

Notable bet/money split in Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds: a 18-point gap on Pittsburgh Pirates.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Pittsburgh Pirates 74% 56% -113
Cincinnati Reds 26% 44% +106
Run line Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 71% 88% +138
Cincinnati Reds +1.5 29% 12% -150
Total Over 9.5 71% 69% -110
Under 9.5 29% 31% -105

What the data says

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the moneyline market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 74% of bets are on Pittsburgh Pirates while only 56% of dollars are on the same side — a 18-point gap.

A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on Cincinnati Reds without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is Cincinnati Reds, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.

Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.

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Related

Frequently asked questions

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.

Should I bet on Pittsburgh Pirates tonight?

We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.

What does it mean when Pittsburgh Pirates has 74% of bets but 56% of money?

When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A 18pp gap means the average bet on Pittsburgh Pirates is smaller than the average bet on the other side.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What is a good bet% gap to look for?

Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →

Last updated: October 21, 2026 at 4:23 PM UTC

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