Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Splits — June 28, 2026

Notable bet/money split in Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians: a 24-point gap on Under 7.5.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Seattle Mariners 79% 74% -130
Cleveland Guardians 21% 26% +130
Run line Seattle Mariners -1.5 62% 54% +145
Cleveland Guardians +1.5 38% 46% -132
Total Over 7.5 49% 73% +110
Under 7.5 51% 27% -115

What the data says

Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the totals market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 51% of bets are on Under 7.5 while only 27% of dollars are on the same side — a 24-point gap.

A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on Over 7.5 without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is Over 7.5, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.

Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.

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Frequently asked questions

Are these picks or just data?

These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.

How often does the team with more money% cover?

In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

Where can I bet {away} vs. {home}?

Any licensed sportsbook in your state offers MLB markets. We don't recommend specific books — see our responsible gambling resources before you wager.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: June 28, 2026 at 5:22 AM UTC

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