Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Splits — July 21, 2026

Notable bet/money split in Cincinnati Reds at Seattle Mariners: a 28-point gap on Seattle Mariners.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds 16% 44% +129
Seattle Mariners 84% 56% -145
Run line Cincinnati Reds +1.5 28% 23% -169
Seattle Mariners -1.5 72% 77% +152
Total Over 7.5 80% 85% -109
Under 7.5 20% 15% -105

What the data says

Cincinnati Reds at Seattle Mariners shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the moneyline market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 84% of bets are on Seattle Mariners while only 56% of dollars are on the same side — a 28-point gap.

A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on Cincinnati Reds without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is Cincinnati Reds, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.

Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.

Tonight's strongest MLB plays — locked.

Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.

Advanced Pick #1 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Moneyline
Advanced Pick #2 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Run Line
Advanced Pick #3 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Total
Unlock advanced EV picks →

Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →

Where this game ranks today

Slate rank
#5 of tonight's biggest splits — see the full ranking

Related

Frequently asked questions

What does it mean when Seattle Mariners has 84% of bets but 56% of money?

When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A {gap}pp gap means the average bet on Seattle Mariners is smaller than the average bet on the other side.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.

Where can I bet {away} vs. {home}?

Any licensed sportsbook in your state offers MLB markets. We don't recommend specific books — see our responsible gambling resources before you wager.

What is a good bet% gap to look for?

Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: July 21, 2026 at 12:47 PM UTC

See tonight's biggest MLB splits — free.

Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.

See all of tonight's splits →

Or unlock our advanced EV picks →